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BYU got outplayed and out coached in every aspect in last week’s loss to Oregon. Prior to the Oregon game, everything pointed to the Ducks winning. Every TV show had the Cougs winning, daytime kickoff, Vegas having Oregon as a 4-point favorite when BYU is higher ranked, and BYU coming off a massive win against 9th ranked Baylor. With all that being said, this game against Wyoming is a perfect bounce-back spot for BYU.
A lot of BYU fans’ eyes were opened this week when Vanquish the Foe dropped an article comparing the difference between day games versus night games. Grant and I have been on this theory for over a year now, we even asked Ben Criddle (Cougar Sports ESPN 960) back in December about it on the show. The article mentions how daytime kickoffs over the last three seasons are 10-9, and in nigh time kickoffs, they are 21-1. I find the more alarming stat is that in that same time frame, during day games BYU is 3-16 ATS (against the spread) and in night games they are 18-4. Whether it is a day game or night game you can still pick up easy wins against FCS schools without playing well, to cover the spread you typically have to play well. Luckily, tonight’s matchup kicks off at 8:15 MT.
The Cowboys are currently on a three-game winning streak looking for a massive upset against BYU. Wyoming is coming off a 17-14 win against Air Force. Wyoming was a 16.5 point underdog in that matchup. I know this is a big game for Wyoming, possibly their biggest of the season, but I also see this as a letdown spot. If you watched the game, Wyoming did not impress anybody.
I see BYU coming out firing right out of the gate. I would feel a lot more comfortable if Puka Nacua or Gunner Romney are available to play but I still love the Cougs in this one. BYU coming off a humiliating loss, Kalani Sitake will have them ready. The only potential weakness I see for BYU in this one is that Wyoming loves to run the ball and BYU’s run defense is fairly mediocre. That’s why I would steer away from the total in this one, BYU will basically have to hit that over themselves. Instead, I would look toward the team total and spreads.