I Have Bet Almost Every Single Christmas Eve NFL Game on Accident

Merry Christmas Eve!

This is truly one of the best times of the year, and the extra holiday football makes all the better. We have plenty of great matchups today and I really look forward to staying inside and watching all the teams play. Whether it is the NFC East showdown between the Eagles and Cowboys, or AFC South snooze fest between the Titans and the Texans, there is something for someone today! Here are my picks for Christmas Eve and I want to wish everyone a happy holidays! Try not to shoot your eye out!

Achristmasstory GIFs | Tenor

Houston @ Tennessee - Under 35.5:

Malik Willis probably starting at QB, TEN will have to run the ball to have any success. Hard to trust Davis Mills to throw against any defense. Even this atrocious Titans defense. Divisional Under

Seahawks @ Chiefs - Over 49.5/Seahawks +10:

Both teams are scoring on over 40% of possessions. Both averaging over 7.5 yards per pass attempt. Both converting on 3rd down over 40% of the time. Both averaging greater than 2.2 points per drive/Chiefs 5-10 ATS in last 15 as a FG+ favorite. Butler has been atrocious. Missing FG’s can really hurt this big of a spread.

Lions @ Panthers - Lions -2.5:

See game preview. Panthers commit the third most defensive penalty yards. Both teams top 10 in blitz rate, but the Lions handle the blitz much better. Goff’s QBR is 15 points greater in plays where he was blitzed. Panthers averaging 1.5 yards less against the blitz. Lions averaging 2.5 points per drive.

Giants @ Vikings - Giants +3.5:

Exhausting game for MIN last week. Giants love to blitz and the vikings struggle to adjust. PHI and DAL also blitzed the Vikings a lot and the Vikings got blown out in both of those games.

Bills/Bears - Over 40:

Overreaction to weather from the market. I doubled down at 40.5.

Falcons @ Ravens - Ravens -6.5:

Got this early, unfortunately did not get the Lamar news I was looking for.

Saints @ Browns - Over 34/Browns -3:

Overreaction to weather. Doubled and tripled down at 32.5 and 31.5/Got early hoping to get the best line. Doesn’t look like it will matter.

Snoopy Christmas GIFs | Tenor

Commanders @ 49ers - Under 37/Commanders +7:

Best bet of the weekend. Chase Young will be back, and Bosa will have his way with the Washington OLINE. Both defenses bottom 1/3 in yards per play allowed. 49ers have the best rush defense in the league. Both defenses allowing less than 40% third down conversion. Both allowing less than 1.7 points per drive/Slight advantage Washington in terms of Heinicke’s experience. Washington forces more QB pressures.

Eagles @ Cowboys - Eagles +3.5/5.5/ML (+200):

After Gardner news. Banking on overreaction from the public on Hurts injury. Doubled down at 5.5

Raiders @ Steelers - Steelers -2.5:

Pit converting on 3rd down 43%. Pit advantage in red zone conversions.

Lastly, my alternate card!

Happy Holidays to all KarterKast listeners! Follow all of my Action on the award winning Action Network App here.

My Lions/Panthers Preview is now available as well as my best bet for Christmas Eve!

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