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The big surprise between these two teams comes in the form of the Green Bay Packers. They were the odds on favorite to win their division pre-season, and those hopes seem to be no more. They are feeling the effects of a dismembered receiving core (it is very possible that their TE is their best receiver) and a QB who seems lost on the field without Davante Adams.
The Titans on the other hand have slightly exceeded expectations. Ryan Tannehill's injury provided Malik Willis the opportunity to show the world what he's is made of, however it was quickly realized that he needs more time to develop before he is game ready. The Packers need to get things started if they want to keep their hopes of a playoff run. Conversely, the Titans hope to keep their momentum going into the last half of the season.
Tennessee Titans +3.5 (1u)
The Titans are one of the best teams against the spread this season, and when they are underdogs they perform even better. Dating back to last year, the Titans are 10-3 against the spread as an underdog, and Tennessee is in a similar spot tonight. The Titans match up well against the Packers, as Green Bay has prioritized the run on offense. Tennessee is allowing only 3.8 yards per rush on defense, and less than 90 rush yards per game. The Packers are going to have to air the ball out if they want to get out in front of Tennessee, and since the cheese-heads' receiving core is non-existent, this game plan could prove costly for LaFleur and company.
Aaron Jones Under 58.5 Rushing Yards (2u)
As stated above, the Packers gameplay coming into this game should be to take advantage of the Titans depleted secondary. Straying away from the run game could be in the Packers cards tonight. It is also worth noting that RB A.J. Dillon has seen a steady uptick in touches leading up to this game, which further hurts Jones' chance of racking up the yards.